Truex Jr. on top at TMS

Autoracing Betting Lines

11/02/2007 - Fort Worth, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The sun began to set, the track got cooler and Martin Truex Jr. took advantage of the situation winning the pole for Sunday's Dickies 500 Nextel Cup race at the Texas Motor Speedway, the eighth of 10 races that make up the Chase for the Nextel Cup. The No.1 DEI Chevrolet grabbed the top spot with a best lap of 27.964 seconds (193.105 m.p.h.).

The pole victory was the first of Truex Jr.'s Cup career.

"It's awesome, we've been trying to do this for a while," said Truex Jr. "We've been second a bunch this year. That's the way to start off our weekend and one of these days we're going to finish one off too."

Starting alongside Truex Jr. will be points leader Jeff Gordon who posted a time of 28.063 seconds. Gordon was fastest in the final practice and had already won seven pole awards this season so Truex Jr. wasn't assured of his win until Gordon came up just short in one of the final two qualifying attempts of the afternoon.

Juan Pablo Montoya (28.064) and Kevin Harvick (28.090) will make up row two.

"Everybody did an amazing job...and it puts us in a good position for the race," said Montoya.

The remainder of the "Chase" field will start in the following order: Kurt Busch (sixth), Denny Hamlin (seventh), Jimmie Johnson (eighth), Tony Stewart (15th), Kyle Busch (17th), Matt Kenseth (18th), Carl Edwards (21st), Jeff Burton (27th), Clint Bowyer (29th),

Johnson's second consecutive win, and series-leading eighth of the season, cut 44 points off his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Gordon's lead to close within nine points of the four-time series champion.

It's not a fluke that Gordon and Johnson are one-two. The statistics bare out that the two friends should be there.

Gordon has six wins, 20 top-fives and 27 top-10s in 33 events. He has led a series-leading 1,280 laps out of 9,669, (13.24%). He leads in pole wins (7). He has finished worse than 12th just four times all season.

Johnson has eight wins among his 18 top-fives and 21 top-10s. He is second to Gordon in laps led with 1,225 (12.67%).

By contrast Bowyer, who is in third place overall -111 points back, has just one win, five top-fives and 17 top-10s.

Surprisingly, despite 81 career wins (sixth all-time), Gordon has never won a pole or a race at the Texas Motor Speedway. He did finish second in April 2002 and has six top-10s in 13 career starts. Johnson has similar statistics at TMS - no poles, no wins, but six top-10s in eight career starts.

The race is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. (et).

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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

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